The causes and factors causing instability in the exchange rate:
Reasons or
factors, currency fluctuations, first, is purchasing the property of the
national currency and the state of supply and demand for it.
In the
spontaneous development of international trade and other forms of foreign
economic relations of the ratio of receipts and payments in foreign currency,
and hence the demand and supply of foreign currency is never in equilibrium.
With the active balance of payments, when payments exceed the foreign exchange
earnings, foreign exchange rates in the local currency market are falling, and
the rate of national currency rises. The reverse happens when the country will
have a passive balance of payments. Thus, the exchange rate at any given moment
depends on the current account balance.
Second, the
change in the exchange rate is influenced by the degree of depreciation of
money, the decline of their purchasing power in the country. The higher
inflation rate in the country, the greater the depreciation of its currency,
ceteris paribus.
Among other
factors that influence the exchange rate change, we note the level (the
difference between the levels), interest rates, the size of reserves, the
degree of individual national currencies in international credit and settlement
of payment transactions, acting on exchange rates through the migration of
short-term capital.
The
exchange rate is formed mainly influenced by:
• The
relations of demand and supply of currency, which is determined by many
factors. The dynamics of the exchange rate determines the individual states
influence the competitiveness of its products on world markets, a change which
ultimately caused the level of technology and production techniques;
• Interest
rates;
• The
relationships of inflation. The higher the inflation rate, the lower the rate
of its currency;
•
Acceleration or delay in international payments;
• Status of
national financial markets;
• The
degree of use of certain currencies in international transactions;
• States,
since the exchange rate is subject to regulation;
• Currency
restrictions, that is, a set of measures aimed at restricting transactions with
currency, gold and other currency values.
Thus, the
formation of the exchange rate - a complex multifactorial process caused by
interconnection of national and world economy and politics.
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